Just what the title says. At this point I have looked at dozens of IBIS World Reports and every one I remember had a forward growth rate between 1.5% and 2.5%. Often times other market research reports would be much higher, granted some or all of those may have been global market reports. Is the US really going to be growing that slow or are the growth rates in the IBIS World reports just to be taken with a huge grain of salt?
I think the IBIS World Reports are still valuable for some of the other information that's contained, but I've tossed out pretty much every industry I've thought about putting on my PPM because of anemic forward growth and now I think I'm going to have to revisit them. OFC I wasn't as structured as I should have been in tracking which ones I was throwing out because the anemic growth was one of the first things I saw.
For example:
https://www.searchfunder.com/ibisworld/report/27603
Smart Meter Manufacturing
CAGR###-###-#### = 15.7%.
But then apparently it's going to slow down to 1.75% CAGR from###-###-#### ....
https://www.marketsandmarkets.com/Market-Reports/smart-sensor-market###-###-#### html
While Markets and Markets has it growing at a CAGR of 17.9% during###-###-#### .
Has anyone found an IBIS report for a US ind. that has CAGR > Inflation?
by a searcher from Massachusetts Institute of Technology - MIT Sloan School of Management
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"CONSTANT PRICES The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the "real" growth or decline in industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ implicit GDP price deflator."