Is industry growth the single most important metric in a search?
I’ve been diving deep on a business that feels like a hidden gem:
-High recurring revenue
-Low customer concentration
-Streamlined, simple operations
But it has one massive red flag: The industry is in decline.
Conventional search fund data tells us to run toward growth. But when you find a company that checks all the other boxes, it's hard to know what to do.
Can a great business still be an incredible opportunity despite structural industry headwinds? Or are you just buying a ticket on a sinking ship, no matter how well-run it is?
Would love to hear how other searchers and investors weigh market growth vs. operational quality. Drop your perspective in the comments.