Green card SBA Loan ban implications
February 03, 2026
by a searcher from Dartmouth College - Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth in Garden Grove, CA, USA
Based on quick research: Around 3.5% of citizens+residents in the USA are GC Holders, however they are 15% - 50% more likely to own a business, hence we can safely say 6% of SBA demand just left the market.
This begs the following questions (and more)
- Will the SBA loan rate drop?
- If so, will sellers increase valuations (lower rate) or decrease it (less demand)?
- And how will this impact the equity market, with 6% less demand on the baseline, but perhaps more demand if valuations increase more than loan rate drop.
- Will GC holders truly leave the arena? Or will they opt to other financing structures , both in terms of debt (seller notes? earn-outs?) and equity
What are your thoughts on the immediate macro implications?
from University of Cambridge in Los Angeles, CA, USA
from University of Central Florida in St. Petersburg, FL, USA