2023: Insights from a year of high interest rates

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December 19, 2023

by a professional from Vanderbilt University in Austin, TX, USA

We've been tracking the impact of high interest rates on the #smb #acquisitions space for a while. This started with our Private Market Insights interview with ^redacted‌ last year and continues to be important.

Here are 4 thoughts about rates and #eta as we close out 2023:


1) Activity and interest in our space remained strong, but deals were harder to get done. Loans that would have easily met debt service coverage tests in 2021 are no longer viable in the current environment.


2) Anecdotally, the availability of strong yields on treasury bonds has led to some cooling of investor appetites for risk. When the alternative to an SMB investment is a risk-free 5% return, that investment looks less attractive.


3) That being said, deals still got done, and with more success than other parts of the economy. The IBBA Q3 report notes a rise in alternative financing methods such as seller financing, earn outs, and retained equity, often at rates better than those offered by banks.


4) Multiples diverged across the industry: While strong businesses with robust fundamentals continue to garner higher valuations, parts of the mid-market and under $3M EBITDA segments face challenges.


We published a longer article on this topic recently. Check it out! https://privatemarketlabs.com/navigating-high-interest-rates-in-small-business-acquisitions/

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Reply by a searcher
from New York University in New York, NY, USA
re point 2: do you think this has led to searchers struggling to find funding for their deals without needing to resort to point 3? my understanding was that most decent deals were still being funded

personally i'd be surprised if investors in this space were happy with a 5% return (even if risk free) over potential returns from SMB
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Reply by a searcher
from Arizona State University in Scottsdale, AZ, USA
Like all things I imagine it depends on the terms of the deal. Underwriting the risk can at times be difficult but you're right that the returns should be much higher than the risk free return rate. It's just the topic of the day with a significant amount of cash sitting on the sidelines. Rates likely won't stop a good deal from getting done but maxing out leverage may not be as good of an idea especially on a mediocre deal.
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